Ricarda Winkelmann

Highlights / TOP Publications

in review / In Preparation

V. Coulon, A.K. Klose**, C. Kittel, T. Edwards, F. Turner, R. Winkelmann, and F. Pattyn
Disentangling the drivers of future Antarctic ice loss with a historically-calibrated ice-sheet model
The Cryosphere Discussions, in review.

E.K. Smith, C. Eder, J.F. Donges, J. Heitzig, A. Katsanidou, M. Wiedermann, and R. Winkelmann
Domino Effects in the Earth System -- The role of wanted social tipping points
in review.

A.K. Klose**, J.F. Donges, U. Feudel, and R. Winkelmann
Cascading tipping behavior of the interacting Greenland Ice Sheet and Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a model of low complexity
in review.

E.K. Smith, M. Wiedermann / , J.F. Donges, J. Heitzig, and R. Winkelmann
A global social activation model of enabling conditions for positive social tipping – the role of sea-level rise anticipation and climate change concern
Earth System Dynamics Discussions, in review.

Full Publication List

** = supervised PhD / MSc student
* = group member (at time of publication)

2024

N. Wunderling*, A. von der Heydt, …, R. Winkelmann et al.,
Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: A review
Earth System Dynamics (2024), DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-41-2024.

J. Rockström, L. J. Kotzé, S. Milutinović, F. Biermann, V. Brovkin, J. F. Donges, J. Ebbesson, D. French, J. Gupta, R. E. Kim, T. M. Lenton, D. Lenzi, N. Nakicenovic, B. Neumann, F. Schuppert, R. Winkelmann, K. Bosselmann, C. Folke, W. Lucht, D. Schlosberg, K. Richardson, W. Steffen
The Planetary Commons: A New Paradigm for Safeguarding Earth Regulating Systems in the Anthropocene
PNAS (2024), DOI:10.1073/pnas.2301531121.

P. Roberts, W.C. Carleton, N. Amano, M. Findley, R. Hamilton, Y. Maezumi, R. Winkelmann, M.D. Laubichler, J. Renn
Using urban pasts to speak to urban presents in the Anthropocene
Nature Cities (2024), DOI: 10.1038/s44284-023-00014-4.

T.M. Lenton, J.F. Abrams, A. Bartsch, …, R. Winkelmann and N. Boers
Remotely sensing potential climate change tipping points across scales
Nature Communications (2024), DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-44609-w.

2023

H. Mevenkamp, N. Wunderling, U. Bhatt, T. Carman, J.F. Donges, H. Genet, S. Serbin, R. Winkelmann, and E.S. Euskirchen
Reducing uncertainty of high-latitude ecosystem models through identification of key parameters
Environmental Research Letters (2023), DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ace637.

J. Garbe**, M. Zeitz, U. Krebs-Kanzow, and R. Winkelmann
The evolution of future Antarctic surface melt using PISM-dEBM-simple
The Cryosphere (2023), DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-4571-2023.

J.F. Abrams, C. Huntingford, M.S. Williamson, D.I. Armstrong McKay, C.A. Boulton, J.E. Buxton, B. Sakschewski, S. Loriani, C. Zimm, R. Winkelmann, Timothy M. Lenton
Committed Global Warming Risks Triggering Multiple Climate Tipping Points
Earth’s Future (2023), DOI: 10.1029/2022EF003250.

H. Seroussi, V. Verjans, S. Nowicki, …, R. Winkelmann et al.
Insights into the vulnerability of Antarctic glaciers from the ISMIP6 ice sheet model ensemble and associated uncertainty
The Cryosphere (2023), DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-5197-2023.

F. Sylvester, F.G. Weichert, V.L. Lozano, K.J. Groh, M. Bálint, L. Baumann, C. Bässler, …, R. Winkelmann and H. Hollert
Better integration of chemical pollution research will further our understanding of biodiversity loss
Nature Ecology & Evolution (2023), DOI: 10.1038/s41559-023-02117-6.

J. Beckmann* and Ricarda Winkelmann
Effects of extreme melt events on ice flow and sea-level rise of the Greenland Ice Sheet
The Cryosphere (2023), DOI: 10.5194/tc-2022-145.

J. Rockström, J. Gupta, D. Qin, S.J. Lade, J.F. Abrams, L.S. Andersen, D.I. Armstrong McKay, X. Bai, G. Bala, S.E. Bunn, D. Ciobanu, F. DeClerck, K. Ebi, L. Gifford, C. Gordon, S. Hasan, N. Kanie, T.M. Lenton, S. Loriani, D.M. Liverman, A. Mohamed, N. Nakicenovic, D. Obura, D. Ospina, K. Prodani, C. Rammelt, B. Sakschewski, J. Scholtens, B. Stewart-Koster, T. Tharammal, D. van Vuuren, P.H. Verburg, R. Winkelmann, C. Zimm, E.M. Bennett, S. Bringezu, W. Broadgate, P.A. Green, L. Huang, L. Jacobson, C. Ndehedehe, S. Pedde, J. Rocha, M. Scheffer, L. Schulte-Uebbing, W. de Vries, C. Xiao, C. Xu, X. Xu, N. Zafra-Calvo & X. Zhang
Safe and just Earth system boundaries
Nature (2023), DOI: 10.1038/s41586-023-06083-8.

L. Nicola**, D. Notz, and R. Winkelmann
Revisiting temperature sensitivity: How does Antarctic precipitation change with temperature?
The Cryosphere (2023), DOI: 10.5194/tc-2022-254.

N. Bauer, D.P. Keller, J. Garbe, K. Karstens, F. Piontek, W. von Bloh, W. Thiery, M. Zeitz, M. Mengel, J. Strefler, K. Thonicke and R. Winkelmann
Exploring risks and benefits of overshooting a 1.5 °C carbon budget over space and time
Environmental Research Letters (2023), DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/accd83.

R. Reese, J. Garbe, E.A. Hill, B. Urruty, K.A. Naughten, O. Gagliardini, G. Durand, F. Gillet-Chaulet, D. Chandler, P.M. Langebroek, and R. Winkelmann
The stability of present-day Antarctic grounding lines–Part B: Possible commitment of regional collapse under current climate
The Cryosphere (2023), DOI: 10.5194/tc-2022-105.

B. Urruty, E.A. Hill, R. Reese, J. Garbe, O. Gagliardini, G. Durand, F. Gillet-Chaulet, G.H. Gudmundsson, R. Winkelmann, M. Chekki, D. Chandler, P.M. Langebroek
The stability of present-day Antarctic grounding lines–Part A: No indication of marine ice sheet instability in the current geometry
The Cryosphere (2023), DOI: 10.5194/tc-2022-104.

P. Roberts, J.O. Kaplan, D.M. Findley, R. Hamilton, V.L. Caetano-Andrade, N. Amano, A.U. Kay, J. Renn, and R. Winkelmann
Mapping our reliance on the tropics can reveal the roots of the Anthropocene
Nature Ecology & Evolution (2023), DOI: 10.1038/s41559-023-01998-x.

N. Wunderling*, R. Winkelmann, J. Rockström, S. Loriani, D. Armstrong-McKay, P. Ritchie, B. Sakschewski, J. Donges
Global warming overshoots increase risks of climate tipping cascades in a network model
Nature Climate Change (2023), DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01545-9.

2022

N. Wunderling**, A. Staal, B. Sakschewski*, M. Hirota, O.A. Tuinenburg, J.F. Donges, H.M.J. Barbosa, and R. Winkelmann
Recurrent droughts increase risk of cascading tipping events by outpacing adaptive capacities in the Amazon rainforest
PNAS (2022), DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2120777119.

D.O. Obura, F. DeClerck, P. H. Verburg, J. Gupta, …, R. Winkelmann, C. Zimm
Achieving a nature- and people-positive future
One Earth (2022), DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2022.11.013.

D.I. Armstrong McKay, A. Staal, J.F. Abrams, R. Winkelmann, B. Sakschewski, S. Loriani, I. Fetzer, S.E. Cornell, J. Rockström, T.M. Lenton
Exceeding 1.5 C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points
Science (2022), DOI: 10.1126/science.abn7950.

M. Zeitz**, J.M. Haacker, J. F. Donges, T. Albrecht, and Ricarda Winkelmann
Dynamic regimes of the Greenland Ice Sheet emerging from interacting melt–elevation and glacial isostatic adjustment feedbacks
Earth System Dynamics (2022), DOI: 10.5194/esd-13-1077-2022.

T. Schlemm**, J. Feldmann*, R. Winkelmann, A. Levermann
Stabilizing effect of mélange buttressing on the Marine Ice Cliff Instability of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet
The Cryosphere (2022), DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-1979-2022.

J. Feldmann*, R. Reese, R. Winkelmann, A. Levermann
Shear-margin melting causes stronger transient ice discharge than ice-stream melting according to idealized simulations
The Cryosphere (2022), DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-1927-2022.

R. Winkelmann / J.F. Donges / E.K. Smith / M. Milkoreit, C. Eder, J. Heitzig, A. Katsanidou, M. Wiedermann, N. Wunderling**, T.M. Lenton
Social tipping processes for climate action: a conceptual framework
Ecological Economics (2022), DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2021.107242.

Ricarda Winkelmann, Lena Nicola, Dirk Notz
The Antarctic Ice Sheet – a sleeping giant?
Frontiers for Young Minds (2022), DOI: 10.3389/frym.2022.702643

Gael Durand, Michiel R. van den Broeke, Goneri Le Cozannet, Tamsin Edwards, Paul R. Holland, Nicolas C Jourdain, Ben Marzeion, Ruth Mottram, Robert James Nicholls, Frank Pattyn, Frank Paul, Aimée Slangen Paul, Ricarda Winkelmann, Clara Burgard, Carolina vac Calcar, Jean-Baptiste Barré, Amélie Bataille, Anne Chapuis
Sea-Level Rise: From Global Perspectives to Local Services
Frontiers in Marine Science (2022), DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2021.709595

2021

M.A. Martin, O.A. Sendra,…, R.Winkelmann,… et al.
Ten new insights in climate science 2021 - a horizon scan
Global Sustainability (2021), DOI: 10.1017/sus.2021.25.

A.K. Klose, N. Wunderling, R. Winkelmann, J.F. Donges
What do we mean, 'tipping cascade'?
Environmental Research Letters (2021), DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3955.

M. Zeitz**, R. Reese*, J. Beckmann*, U. Krebs-Kanzow, and R. Winkelmann
Impact of the melt-albedo feedback on the future evolution of the Greenland Ice Sheet with PISM-dEBM-simple
The Cryosphere (2021), DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-5739-2021.

Antony J Payne, Sophie Nowicki, Ayako Abe‐Ouchi, Cécile Agosta, Patrick Alexander, Torsten Albrecht, Xylar Asay‐Davis, Andy Aschwanden, Alice Barthel, Thomas J Bracegirdle, Reinhard Calov, Christopher Chambers, Youngmin Choi, Richard Cullather, Joshua Cuzzone, Christophe Dumas, Tamsin L Edwards, Denis Felikson, Xavier Fettweis, Benjamin K Galton‐Fenzi, Heiko Goelzer, Rupert Gladstone, Nicholas R Golledge, Jonathan M Gregory, Ralf Greve, Tore Hattermann, Matthew J Hoffman, Angelika Humbert, Philippe Huybrechts, Nicolas C Jourdain, Thomas Kleiner, Peter Kuipers Munneke, Eric Larour, Sebastien Le Clec'H, Victoria Lee, Gunter Leguy, William H Lipscomb, Christopher M Little, Daniel P Lowry, Mathieu Morlighem, Isabel Nias, Frank Pattyn, Tyler Pelle, Stephen F Price, Aurélien Quiquet, Ronja Reese, Martin Rückamp, Nicole‐Jeanne Schlegel, Hélène Seroussi, Andrew Shepherd, Erika Simon, Donald Slater, Robin S Smith, Fiammetta Straneo, Sainan Sun, Lev Tarasov, Luke D Trusel, Jonas Van Breedam, Roderik van de Wal, Michiel van den Broeke, Ricarda Winkelmann, Chen Zhao, Tong Zhang, Thomas Zwinger
Future Sea Level Change Under Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and Phase 6 Scenarios From the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets
Geophysical Research Letters (2021), DOI: 10.1029/2020GL091741.

C. Ciemer, R. Winkelmann, J. Kurths, N. Boers
Impact of an AMOC weakening on the stability of the southern Amazon rainforest
European Physical Journal Special Topics (2021), DOI: 10.1140/epjs/s11734-021-00186-x.

M. Kreuzer**, R. Reese*, W. N. Huiskamp*, S. Petri, T. Albrecht*, G. Feulner, and R. Winkelmann
Coupling framework (1.0) for the PISM (1.1.4) ice sheet model and the MOM5 (5.1.0) ocean model via the PICO ice-shelf cavity model in an Antarctic domain
Geoscientific Model Development (2021), DOI: 10.5194/gmd-14-3697-2021.

N. Wunderling**, J.F. Donges, J. Kurths, and R. Winkelmann
Interacting tipping elements increase risk of climate domino effects under global warming
Earth System Dynamics (2021), DOI: 10.5194/esd-12-601-2021.

N.H. Kitzmann, J.F. Donges, X. Bai, S. Lade, P. Romanczuk, and R. Winkelmann
Contagious Transformations? Inter-City Spreading of Sustainability Innovations
EGU General Assembly EGU21-8976 (2021).

N. Wunderling**, J. Krönke, V. Wohlfarth, J. Kohler, J. Heitzig, A. Staal, S. Willner, R. Winkelmann, J.F. Donges
Modelling nonlinear dynamics of interacting tipping elements on complex networks: the PyCascades package
European Physical Journal Special Topics (2021), DOI: 10.1140/epjs/s11734-021-00155-4.

Edwards, T.L., Nowicki, S., …, Ricarda Winkelmann et al.
Projected land ice contributions to twenty-first-century sea level rise
Nature (2021), DOI: 10.1038/s41586-021-03302-y.

Johan Rockström, Joyeeta Gupta, Timothy M. Lenton, Dahe Qin, Steven J. Lade, Jesse F. Abrams, Lisa Jacobson, Juan C. Rocha, Caroline Zimm, Xuemei Bai, Govindasamy Bala, Stefan Bringezu, Wendy Broadgate, Stuart E. Bunn, Fabrice DeClerck, Kristie L. Ebi, Peng Gong, Chris Gordon, Norichika Kanie, Diana M. Liverman, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, David Obura, Veerabhadran Ramanathan, Peter H. Verburg, Detlef P. van Vuuren, and Ricarda Winkelmann
Identifying a Safe and Just Corridor for People and the Planet
Earth's Future (2021), DOI: 10.1029/2020EF001866.

S.H.R. Rosier, R. Reese*, J.F. Donges, J. De Rydt, G.H. Gudmundsson, and R. Winkelmann
The tipping points and early-warning indicators for Pine Island Glacier, West Antarctica
The Cryosphere (2021), DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-1501-2021.

2020

J. Garbe**, T. Albrecht*, J.F. Donges, A. Levermann, and R. Winkelmann
Hysteresis of the Antarctic Ice Sheet
Nature (2020), DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2727-5.

N. Wunderling**, M. Willeit, J.F. Donges, and R. Winkelmann
Global warming due to loss of large ice masses and Arctic summer sea ice
Nature Communications (2020), DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-18934-3.

C. Ciemer**, L. Rehm, J. Kurths, R. Donner, R. Winkelmann, N. Boers
An early-warning indicator for Amazon droughts exclusively based on tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures
Environmental Research Letters (2020), DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab9cff.

M. Zeitz**, R. Winkelmann, A. Levermann
Sensitivity of ice flow to uncertainty in flow law parameters in an idealized one-dimensional geometry
The Cryosphere (2020), DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-3537-2020.

N. Wunderling**, M. Gelbrecht, R. Winkelmann, J. Kurths, J.F. Donges
Basin stability and limit cycles in a conceptual model for climate tipping cascades
New Journal of Physics (2020), https://doi.org/10.1088/1367-2630/abc98a

R. Reese*, A. Levermann, T. Albrecht*, H. Seroussi, and R. Winkelmann
ISMIP-6: The role of history and strength of the oceanic forcing in sea-level projections from Antarctica with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model
The Cryosphere (2020), DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-3097-2020.

H. Seroussi, S. Nowicki, A.J. Payne, H. Goelzer, W.H. Lipscomb, A. Abe Ouchi, C. Agosta, T. Albrecht*, X. Asay-Davis, A. Barthel, R. Calov, R. Cullather, C. Dumas, R. Gladstone, N. Golledge, J.M. Gregory, R. Greve, T. Hatterman, M.J. Hoffman, A. Humbert, P. Huybrechts, N.C. Jourdain, T. Kleiner, E. Larour, G.R. Leguy, D.P. Lowry, C.M. Little, M. Morlighem, F. Pattyn, T. Pelle, S.F. Price, A. Quiquet, R. Reese*, N.-J. Schlegel, A. Shepherd, E. Simon, R.S. Smith, F. Straneo, S. Sun, L.D. Trusel, J. Van Breedam, R.S.W. van de Wal, R. Winkelmann, C. Zhao, T. Zhang, and T. Zwinger
ISMIP6 Antarctica: a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century
The Cryosphere (2020), DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-3033-2020

A.K. Klose**, V. Karle, R. Winkelmann, J.F. Donges
Dynamic emergence of domino effects in systems of interacting tipping elements in ecology and climate
Royal Society Open Science (2020), DOI: 10.1098/rsos.200599.

J. Krönke**, N. Wunderling**, R. Winkelmann, A. Staal, B. Stumpf**, O.A. Tuinenburg, J.F. Donges
Dynamics of tipping cascades on complex networks
Physical Review E, in press (2020), DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.101.042311.

A. Levermann, R. Winkelmann, T. Albrecht*, J. van Breedam, H. Goelzer, N.R. Golledge, R. Greve, J. Jordan, G. Leguy, D. Martin, M. Morlighem, F. Pattyn, D. Pollard, A. Quiquet, C. Rodehacke, H. Seroussi, J. Sutter, T. Zhang, R. DeConto, Ch. Dumas, S. Fuzuki, J. Garbe*, H. Gudmundsson, M. Hoffman, A. Humbert, P. Huybrechts, T. Kleiner, W. Lipscomb, E. Ng, M. Perego, S.F. Price, N.-J. Schlegel, S. Sun, R.S.W. van de Wal
Projecting Antarctica’s contribution to future sea level rise from basal ice-shelf melt using linear response functions of 16 ice sheet models (LARMIP-2)
Earth System Dynamics (2020), DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-35-2020.

T. Albrecht*, R. Winkelmann, A. Levermann
Glacial cycles simulation of the Antarctic Ice Sheet with PISM - Part 2: Parameter ensemble analysis
The Cryosphere (2020), DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-633-2020.

T. Albrecht*, R. Winkelmann, A. Levermann
Glacial cycles simulation of the Antarctic Ice Sheet with PISM - Part 1: Boundary conditions and climatic forcing
The Cryosphere (2020), DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-599-2020.

N. Wunderling**, B. Stumpf**, J. Krönke**, A. Staal, O.A. Tuinenburg, R. Winkelmann, J.F. Donges
How motifs condition critical thresholds for tipping cascades in complex networks: linking micro- to macro-scales
Chaos (2020), DOI: 10.1063/1.5142827.

2019

C. Ciemer**, N. Boers, M. Hirota, J. Kurths, F. Müller-Hansen, R.S. Oliveira, and R. Winkelmann
Higher resilience to climatic disturbances in tropical vegetation exposed to more variable rainfall
Nature Geoscience (2019), DOI: 10.1038/s41561-019-0312-z.

H. Seroussi, S. Nowicki, E. Simon, A. Abe Ouchi, T. Albrecht, J. Brondex, S. Cornford, C. Dumas, F. Gillet-Chaulet, H. Goelzer, N.R. Golledge, J.M. Gregory, R. Greve, M.J. Hoffman, A. Humbert, P. Huybrechts, T. Kleiner, E. Larour, G. Leguy, W.H. Lipscomb, D. Lowry, M. Menge, M. Morlighem, F. Pattyn, A.J. Payne, D. Pollard, S. Price, A. Quiquet, T. Reerink, R. Reese, C.B. Rodehacke, N.-J. Schlegel, A. Shepherd, S. Sun, J. Sutter, J. Van Breedam, R.S.W. van de Wal, R. Winkelmann, and T. Zhang
initMIP-Antarctica: An ice sheet model initialization experiment of ISMIP6
The Cryosphere (2019), DOI: 10.5194/tc-13-1441-2019.

2018

R. Reese**, R. Winkelmann, G.H. Gudmundsson
Grounding-line flux formula applied as a flux condition in numerical simulations fails for buttressed Antarctic ice streams
The Cryosphere (2018), DOI: 10.5194/tc-12-3229-2018.
* former PhD student

J. Feldmann*, R. Reese*, R. Winkelmann, A. Levermann
Snowfall versus sub-shelf melt: response of an idealized 3D ice-sheet-shelf system to mass redistribution
The Cryosphere Discussions (2018), DOI: 10.5194/tc-2018-109.

W. Steffen, J. Rockström, K. Richardson, T.M. Lenton, C. Folke, D. Liverman, C.P. Summerhayes, A.D. Barnosky, S.E. Cornell, M. Crucifix, J.F. Donges, I. Fetzer, S.J. Lade, M. Scheffer, R. Winkelmann, H.J. Schellnhuber
Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2018), DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1810141115.

R. Reese**, T. Albrecht*, M. Mengel*, X. Asay-Davis*, and R. Winkelmann
Antarctic sub-shelf melt rates via PICO
The Cryosphere (2018), DOI: 10.5194/tc-12-1969-2018.
* former PhD student

2017

R. Reese, G.H. Gudmundsson, A. Levermann, and R. Winkelmann
The far reach of ice-shelf thinning in Antarctica
Nature Climate Change (2017), DOI: 10.1038/s41558-017-0020-x.
** former PhD student

J.F. Donges/R. Winkelmann, W. Lucht, S.E. Cornell, J.G. Dyke, J. Rockström, J. Heitzig, H.J. Schellnhuber
Closing the loop: Reconnecting human dynamics to Earth System science
The Anthropocene Review (2017), DOI: 10.1177/2053019617725537.
** shared first-authorship

2016

A. Levermann & R. Winkelmann
A simple equation for the melt-elevation feedback of ice sheets
The Cryosphere (2016), DOI: 10.5194/tc-10-1799-2016.

H.J. Schellnhuber, S. Rahmstorf, and R. Winkelmann
Why the right climate target was agreed in Paris
Nature Climate Change (2016), DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3013.

A.B.A. Slangen, F. Adloff, S. Jevrejeva, P.W. Leclercq, B. Marzeion, Y. Wada, and R. Winkelmann
A Review of Recent Updates of Sea-Level Projections at Global and Regional Scales
Surveys in Geophysics (2016), DOI: 10.1007/s10712-016-9374-2.

A. Ganopolski, R. Winkelmann, H.J. Schellnhuber
Critical insolation - CO2 relation for diagnosing past and future glacial inception
Nature (2016), DOI: 10.1038/nature16494.

P.U. Clark, J.D. Shakun, S.A. Marcott, A.C. Mix, M. Eby, S. Kulp, A. Levermann, G.A. Milne, P.L. Pfister, B.D. Santer, D.P. Schrag, S. Solomon, T.F. Stocker, B.H. Strauss, A.J. Weaver, R. Winkelmann, D. Archer, E. Bard, A. Goldner, K. Lambeck, R.T. Pierrehumbert, G.-K. Plattner
Consequences of 21st Century Policy for Multi-Millennial Climate and Sea-Level Change
Nature Climate Change (2016), DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2923.

M. Mengel, A. Levermann, K. Frieler, A. Robinson, B. Marzeion, and R. Winkelmann
Future sea-level rise constrained by observations and long-term commitment
Proceedings of the National Academy of Science (2016), DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1500515113.
» Open source: code, data and projections

2015

R. Winkelmann, A. Levermann, A. Ridgwell, K. Caldeira
Combustion of available fossil-fuel resources sufficient to eliminate the Antarctic Ice Sheet
Science Advances (2015), DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.1500589.

K. Frieler, P.U. Clark, F. He, C. Buizert, R. Reese, S.R.M. Ligtenberg, M.R. van den Broeke, R. Winkelmann, A. Levermann
Consistent evidence of increasing Antarctic accumulation with warming
Nature Climate Change (2015), DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2574.

2014

A. Levermann, R. Winkelmann, S. Nowicki, J. Fastook, K. Frieler, R. Greve, H.H. Hellmer, M.A. Martin, M. Mengel, A.J. Payne, D. Pollard, T. Sato, R. Timmermann, W.L. Wang, R.A. Bindschadler
Projecting Antarctic ice discharge using response functions from SeaRISE ice-sheet models
Earth System Dynamics (2014), DOI: 10.5194/esd-5-271-2014.

S.H.R. Rosier, J.A.M. Green, J.D. Scourse, and R. Winkelmann
Modeling Antarctic tides in response to ice shelf thinning and retreat
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans (2014), DOI: 10.1002/2013JC009240.

2013

R. Winkelmann & A. Levermann
Linear response functions to project contributions to future sea level
Climate Dynamics (2013), DOI: 10.1007/s00382-012-1471-4.

J.A. Church, P.U. Clark, A. Cazenave, J.M. Gregory, S. Jevrejeva, A. Levermann, M.A. Merrifield, G.A. Milne, R.S. Nerem, P.D. Nunn, A.J. Payne, W.T. Pfeffer, D. Stammer, A.S. Unnikrishnan (2013)
Chapter 13: Sea-level change. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [T. Stocker et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

2012

R. Winkelmann, A. Levermann, M.A. Martin, K. Frieler
Increased future ice discharge from Antarctica owing to higher snowfall
Nature (2012), DOI: 10.1038/nature11616.
» Supplementary information

R. Winkelmann, A. Levermann, K. Frieler, M. A. Martin
Uncertainty in future solid ice discharge from Antarctica
The Cryosphere Discussions (2012), DOI: 10.5194/tcd-6-673-2012.

A. Levermann, T. Albrecht, R. Winkelmann, M. Martin, M. Haseloff, I. Joughin
Kinematic first-order calving law implies potential for abrupt ice-shelf retreat
The Cryosphere (2012), DOI: 10.5194/tc-6-273-2012.

2011

T. Albrecht, M. Martin, M. Haseloff, R. Winkelmann, A. Levermann
Parameterization for subgrid-scale motion of ice-shelf calving-fronts
The Cryosphere (2011), DOI: 10.5194/tc-5-35-2011.

M.A. Martin, R. Winkelmann, M. Haseloff, T. Albrecht, E. Bueler, C. Khroulev, A. Levermann
The Potsdam Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM-PIK), Part 2: Dynamical equilibrium simulation of the Antarctic Ice Sheet
The Cryosphere (2011), DOI: 10.5194/tc-5-727-2011.

R. Winkelmann, M.A. Martin, M. Haseloff, T. Albrecht, E. Bueler, C. Khroulev, A. Levermann
The Potsdam Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM-PIK), Part 1: Model description
The Cryosphere (2011), DOI: 10.5194/tc-5-715-2011.

BOOKS

IPCC-AR5

Contributing author to the Fifth Assessment Report (WG1, Chapter 13) by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC):

J.A. Church, P.U. Clark, A. Cazenave, J.M. Gregory, S. Jevrejeva, A. Levermann, M.A. Merrifield, G.A. Milne, R.S. Nerem, P.D. Nunn, A.J. Payne, W.T. Pfeffer, D. Stammer, A.S. Unnikrishnan (2013)
Chapter 13: Sea-level change. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [T. Stocker et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

CRUISE REPORTS (Field Work in Antarctica)

Reports on Polar and Marine Research 2018
Expedition PS111 of Research Vessel POLARSTERN to the southern Weddell Sea in 2018
edited by Michael Schröder with contributions of the participants, DOI: 10.2312/BzPM_0718_2018.

Reports on Polar and Marine Research 2011
Expedition PS77 of Research Vessel POLARSTERN to the Antarctic in 2010/11
edited by Eberhard Fahrbach with contributions of the participants, HDL: 10013/epic.38039.